Daily market report
Election markets on Thursday, July 9, 2026
Republicans ended the day 55% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 83% to win the House; the biggest move was FL-13 (Florida), where Democratic odds went from 25% to 38%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 25% | D 38% | ▲ 13.4 |
| CT-05 (Connecticut) | D 94% | D 87% | ▼ 7.3 |
| CO-04 (Colorado) | D 40% | D 35% | ▼ 4.8 |
| MI-04 (Michigan) | D 39% | D 35% | ▼ 4.5 |
| SC-01 (South Carolina) | D 27% | D 31% | ▲ 3.7 |
| Rhode Island Governor | D 88% | D 92% | ▲ 3.6 |
| OH-15 (Ohio) | D 32% | D 29% | ▼ 3.6 |
| Alaska Governor | D 43% | D 46% | ▲ 3.5 |
| NY-02 (New York) | D 23% | D 27% | ▲ 3.3 |
| VA-04 (Virginia) | D 94% | D 97% | ▲ 3.1 |
