Daily market report
Election markets on Monday, July 13, 2026
Republicans ended the day 55% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 83% to win the House; the biggest move was WA-03 (Washington), where Democratic odds went from 81% to 73%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| WA-03 (Washington) | D 81% | D 73% | ▼ 8.4 |
| SC-01 (South Carolina) | D 28% | D 20% | ▼ 7.2 |
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 21% | D 28% | ▲ 7.1 |
| WI-05 (Wisconsin) | D 14% | D 9% | ▼ 5.1 |
| Wisconsin Governor | D 75% | D 70% | ▼ 4.2 |
| NV-02 (Nevada) | D 21% | D 25% | ▲ 4.0 |
| CO-08 (Colorado) | D 89% | D 85% | ▼ 3.7 |
| OH-13 (Ohio) | D 87% | D 91% | ▲ 3.7 |
| MO-02 (Missouri) | D 21% | D 24% | ▲ 3.6 |
| GA-11 (Georgia) | D 15% | D 11% | ▼ 3.6 |
