Daily market report
Election markets on Tuesday, July 28, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 85% to win the House; the biggest move was WI-01 (Wisconsin), where Democratic odds went from 36% to 28%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| WI-01 (Wisconsin) | D 36% | D 28% | ▼ 8.6 |
| MT-01 (Montana) | D 38% | D 31% | ▼ 7.8 |
| NY-23 (New York) | D 17% | D 10% | ▼ 7.4 |
| NY-01 (New York) | D 26% | D 19% | ▼ 7.0 |
| PA-17 (Pennsylvania) | D 89% | D 94% | ▲ 4.7 |
| CO-03 (Colorado) | D 31% | D 26% | ▼ 4.6 |
| MI-08 (Michigan) | D 88% | D 92% | ▲ 4.5 |
| NY-02 (New York) | D 18% | D 14% | ▼ 4.5 |
| SC-02 (South Carolina) | D 15% | D 11% | ▼ 4.4 |
| NV-02 (Nevada) | D 23% | D 20% | ▼ 3.9 |
