Daily market report
Election markets on Monday, July 27, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 85% to win the House; the biggest move was Rhode Island Governor, where Democratic odds went from 80% to 92%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode Island Governor | D 80% | D 92% | ▲ 12.2 |
| MN-08 (Minnesota) | D 19% | D 12% | ▼ 6.8 |
| OH-07 (Ohio) | D 42% | D 47% | ▲ 5.6 |
| Vermont Governor | D 16% | D 12% | ▼ 3.7 |
| NY-04 (New York) | D 80% | D 84% | ▲ 3.6 |
| NC-11 (North Carolina) | D 58% | D 54% | ▼ 3.5 |
| FL-27 (Florida) | D 25% | D 21% | ▼ 3.4 |
| NE-01 (Nebraska) | D 13% | D 16% | ▲ 3.4 |
| Ohio Governor | D 43% | D 47% | ▲ 3.4 |
| TX-38 (Texas) | D 13% | D 10% | ▼ 3.3 |
