Daily market report
Election markets on Saturday, August 8, 2026
Republicans ended the day 54% to win the Senate (Democratic odds down 0.5 points); Democrats ended the day 86% to win the House; the biggest move was OH-07 (Ohio), where Democratic odds went from 68% to 83%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| OH-07 (Ohio) | D 68% | D 83% | ▲ 15.0 |
| Texas Governor | D 14% | D 11% | ▼ 3.1 |
| NE-01 (Nebraska) | D 13% | D 16% | ▲ 2.8 |
| OH-15 (Ohio) | D 22% | D 20% | ▼ 2.7 |
| KS-03 (Kansas) | D 89% | D 91% | ▲ 2.7 |
| NC-09 (North Carolina) | D 19% | D 22% | ▲ 2.7 |
| PA-06 (Pennsylvania) | D 96% | D 94% | ▼ 2.6 |
| OR-03 (Oregon) | D 96% | D 94% | ▼ 2.5 |
| WI-08 (Wisconsin) | D 15% | D 18% | ▲ 2.5 |
| SC-05 (South Carolina) | D 11% | D 8% | ▼ 2.4 |
