Daily market report
Election markets on Monday, August 10, 2026
Republicans ended the day 54% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 86% to win the House; the biggest move was MI-10 (Michigan), where Democratic odds went from 66% to 71%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| MI-10 (Michigan) | D 66% | D 71% | ▲ 4.4 |
| WA-05 (Washington) | D 25% | D 21% | ▼ 4.0 |
| KS-03 (Kansas) | D 89% | D 92% | ▲ 3.1 |
| MI-07 (Michigan) | D 63% | D 65% | ▲ 2.8 |
| Georgia Governor | D 58% | D 55% | ▼ 2.8 |
| Ohio Governor | D 48% | D 51% | ▲ 2.8 |
| TX-32 (Texas) | D 22% | D 19% | ▼ 2.7 |
| AZ-05 (Arizona) | D 17% | D 14% | ▼ 2.7 |
| MI-01 (Michigan) | D 12% | D 14% | ▲ 2.3 |
| NE-01 (Nebraska) | D 16% | D 14% | ▼ 2.3 |
