Daily market report
Election markets on Wednesday, September 2, 2026
Republicans ended the day 51% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 87% to win the House; the biggest move was IA-01 (Iowa), where Democratic odds went from 73% to 79%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA-01 (Iowa) | D 73% | D 79% | ▲ 6.0 |
| MI-10 (Michigan) | D 68% | D 64% | ▼ 4.6 |
| MT-01 (Montana) | D 32% | D 37% | ▲ 4.4 |
| PA-01 (Pennsylvania) | D 47% | D 44% | ▼ 3.0 |
| NC-11 (North Carolina) | D 67% | D 65% | ▼ 2.5 |
| NC-06 (North Carolina) | D 11% | D 8% | ▼ 2.5 |
| FL-25 (Florida) | D 67% | D 69% | ▲ 2.4 |
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 31% | D 29% | ▼ 2.3 |
| TX-23 (Texas) | D 32% | D 30% | ▼ 2.3 |
| VA-01 (Virginia) | D 54% | D 56% | ▲ 2.0 |
