Polymarket
AL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 5%+ at 39%, ahead of Republican 0-5% at 33%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $2K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 5%+ 39%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $2K
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Democrat 5%+39%
- Republican 0-5%33%▼ 4
- Republican 10-15%23%
- Republican 15-20%22%▲ 4
- Republican 5-10%21%▼ 1
- Democrat 0-5%18%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:06 AM9:06 PM9:06 AM39% Democrat 5%+
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 5%+. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
