Polymarket

AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 40-45% at 34%, ahead of Republican 35-40% at 26%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.

Favorite
Republican 40-45% 34%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$10K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 40-45%34%
  2. Republican 35-40%26%
  3. Republican 30-35%16%
  4. Republican 45-50%10%
  5. Republican 15-25%7%
  6. Republican 55%+5%▲ 2

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%8:11 AM8:11 PM8:11 AM34% Republican 40-45%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 40-45%. One reading an hour.

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