Polymarket
AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 60-65% at 28%, ahead of Republican 55-60% at 20%. $175 traded in the last 24 hours, $18K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 60-65% 28%
- 24 hours
- down 3 pts
- Traded today
- $175
- Traded in all
- $18K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 60-65%28%▼ 3
- Republican 55-60%20%▲ 2
- Republican 50-55%19%▲ 1
- Republican 35-45%8%▼ 2
- Republican 45-50%6%▼ 5
- Republican 65-70%6%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:40 AM4:40 PM4:40 AM28% Republican 60-65%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 60-65%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
