Polymarket

AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 15-20% at 30%, ahead of Republican 20-25% at 22%. $180 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.

Favorite
Republican 15-20% 30%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$180
Traded in all
$7K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Republican 15-20%30%▲ 1
  2. Republican 20-25%22%▲ 1
  3. Republican 25-30%18%▼ 5
  4. Republican 35-40%16%▲ 3
  5. Republican 10-15%14%▲ 1
  6. Republican 30-35%7%▼ 1

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:33 AM5:33 PM5:33 AM30% Republican 15-20%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 15-20%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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