Polymarket
AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 30-35% at 27%, ahead of Democrat 35-40% at 24%. $153 traded in the last 24 hours, $15K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 30-35% 27%
- 24 hours
- up 3 pts
- Traded today
- $153
- Traded in all
- $15K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 30-35%27%▲ 3
- Democrat 35-40%24%▲ 4
- Democrat 25-30%22%▼ 4
- Democrat 40%+13%▲ 1
- Democrat 20-25%5%
- Democrat 15-20%4%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:52 AM2:52 PM2:52 AM27% Democrat 30-35%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 30-35%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.