Polymarket
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Peltola 0-3% at 34%, ahead of Sullivan 0-3% at 22%. $60 traded in the last 24 hours, $3K in all.
- Favorite
- Peltola 0-3% 34%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $60
- Traded in all
- $3K
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Peltola 0-3%34%▲ 2
- Sullivan 0-3%22%▲ 2
- Peltola 3-6%22%▼ 1
- Sullivan 6-9%12%
- Sullivan 3-6%11%▲ 6
- Peltola 6-9%7%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:11 PM2:11 AM2:11 PM34% Peltola 0-3%
The line follows the current favorite, Peltola 0-3%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.