Polymarket
AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 40-45% at 28%, ahead of Republican 35-40% at 23%. $373 traded in the last 24 hours, $20K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 40-45% 28%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $373
- Traded in all
- $20K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 40-45%28%
- Republican 35-40%23%▼ 1
- Republican 30-35%18%▼ 0
- Republican 25-30%13%
- Republican 45-50%8%▼ 0
- Republican 15-25%7%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:50 AM7:50 PM7:50 AM28% Republican 40-45%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 40-45%. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More other elections markets
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman 61%
- California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra 96%
- Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga 97%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova 91%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 61%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 58%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an 70%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
