Polymarket
AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 0-5% at 30%, ahead of Republican 5-10% at 22%. $156 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 0-5% 30%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $156
- Traded in all
- $8K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Republican 0-5%30%
- Republican 5-10%22%▼ 3
- Republican 10-15%17%▼ 1
- Democrat 0-5%13%▼ 5
- Democrat 5%+12%▲ 3
- Republican 20-25%7%▲ 5
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%8:08 AM8:08 PM8:08 AM30% Republican 0-5%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 0-5%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
