Polymarket

Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Hobbs 6-9% at 32%, ahead of Hobbs 9-12% at 23%. $246 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.

Favorite
Hobbs 6-9% 32%
24 hours
down 1 pts
Traded today
$246
Traded in all
$9K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Hobbs 6-9%32%▼ 1
  2. Hobbs 9-12%23%▲ 1
  3. Hobbs 12-15%14%▼ 1
  4. Hobbs 15-18%13%▲ 7
  5. Hobbs 0-3%9%▲ 4
  6. Hobbs 3-6%8%▲ 3

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:48 AM10:48 PM10:48 AM32% Hobbs 6-9%

The line follows the current favorite, Hobbs 6-9%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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