Polymarket
Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Hobbs 6-9% at 32%, ahead of Hobbs 9-12% at 23%. $246 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.
- Favorite
- Hobbs 6-9% 32%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $246
- Traded in all
- $9K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Hobbs 6-9%32%▼ 1
- Hobbs 9-12%23%▲ 1
- Hobbs 12-15%14%▼ 1
- Hobbs 15-18%13%▲ 7
- Hobbs 0-3%9%▲ 4
- Hobbs 3-6%8%▲ 3
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:48 AM10:48 PM10:48 AM32% Hobbs 6-9%
The line follows the current favorite, Hobbs 6-9%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.