Polymarket
AZ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 15-18% at 20%, ahead of Democrat 3-6% at 17%. $103 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 15-18% 20%
- 24 hours
- up 3 pts
- Traded today
- $103
- Traded in all
- $14K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 15-18%20%▲ 3
- Democrat 3-6%17%▲ 1
- Democrat 6-9%14%▲ 1
- Democrat 9-12%14%
- Democrat 0-3%12%▲ 1
- Republican 0-3%9%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:39 AM4:39 PM4:39 AM20% Democrat 15-18%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 15-18%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
