Polymarket
AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 0-3% at 27%, ahead of Republican 3-6% at 19%. $86 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 0-3% 27%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $86
- Traded in all
- $9K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 0-3%27%▼ 0
- Republican 3-6%19%
- Republican 6-9%19%▲ 1
- Democrat 0-3%16%
- Democrat 6%+10%▲ 4
- Republican 12-15%7%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:39 AM4:39 PM4:39 AM27% Republican 0-3%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 0-3%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
