Polymarket
AZ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 20-25% at 28%, ahead of Democrat 15-20% at 22%. $227 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 20-25% 28%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $227
- Traded in all
- $7K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 20-25%28%▲ 2
- Democrat 15-20%22%
- Democrat 25-30%18%▲ 1
- Democrat 10-15%14%▼ 9
- Democrat 35%+9%▲ 4
- Democrat 5-10%4%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:04 AM9:04 PM9:04 AM28% Democrat 20-25%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 20-25%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
