Polymarket
AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 5-10% at 26%, ahead of Republican 10-15% at 25%. $144 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 5-10% 26%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $144
- Traded in all
- $11K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Republican 5-10%26%▲ 1
- Republican 10-15%25%
- Republican 15-20%16%
- Republican 20-25%15%▲ 1
- Republican 0-5%10%▼ 0
- Democrat 0-5%8%▲ 5
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:49 AM10:49 PM10:49 AM26% Republican 5-10%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 5-10%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.