Polymarket

AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 5-10% at 26%, ahead of Republican 10-15% at 25%. $144 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.

Favorite
Republican 5-10% 26%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$144
Traded in all
$11K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Republican 5-10%26%▲ 1
  2. Republican 10-15%25%
  3. Republican 15-20%16%
  4. Republican 20-25%15%▲ 1
  5. Republican 0-5%10%▼ 0
  6. Democrat 0-5%8%▲ 5

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:49 AM10:49 PM10:49 AM26% Republican 5-10%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 5-10%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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