Polymarket
AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 35-40% at 33%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 32%. $226 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 35-40% 33%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $226
- Traded in all
- $11K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 35-40%33%▲ 1
- Democrat 30-35%32%▼ 0
- Democrat 40-45%15%▼ 0
- Democrat 25-30%14%
- Democrat 20-25%9%▲ 5
- Democrat 45-50%4%▼ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:49 AM10:49 PM10:49 AM33% Democrat 35-40%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 35-40%. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More other elections markets
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman 62%
- California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra 97%
- Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga 96%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova 90%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 66%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 61%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an 70%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
