Polymarket
AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 6-9% at 28%, ahead of Republican 3-6% at 24%. $44 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 6-9% 28%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $44
- Traded in all
- $9K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 6-9%28%
- Republican 3-6%24%▲ 1
- Republican 9-12%18%
- Republican 12-15%8%▼ 4
- Republican 21%+6%
- Democrat 0-3%5%▲ 5
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:56 AM9:56 PM9:56 AM28% Republican 6-9%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 6-9%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
