Polymarket
AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 15-20% at 32%, ahead of Republican 20-25% at 18%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 15-20% 32%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $6K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Republican 15-20%32%▼ 0
- Republican 20-25%18%▼ 0
- Republican 5-10%15%▼ 0
- Republican 25-30%14%▲ 2
- Republican 10-15%11%
- Republican 30-35%5%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:50 AM7:50 PM7:50 AM32% Republican 15-20%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 15-20%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.