Kalshi
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
Brazilian presidential election
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Flávio Bolsonaro at more than 99%, ahead of Augusto Cury at 1%. $917K traded in the last 24 hours, $1.3M in all.
- Favorite
- Flávio Bolsonaro >99%
- 24 hours
- up 61 pts
- Traded today
- $917K
- Traded in all
- $1.3M
- Closes
- October 4, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Flávio Bolsonaro>99%▲ 61
- Augusto Cury1%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva<1%▼ 62
- Renan Santos<1%
- Romeu Zema<1%
- Fernando Haddad<1%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:51 AM2:51 PM2:51 AM100% Flávio Bolsonaro
The line follows the current favorite, Flávio Bolsonaro. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More world politics markets
- Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro 82%
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceTarcisio de Freitas <1%
- Brazil Presidential election winner?Flávio Bolsonaro 84%
- Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 45%
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceAugusto Cury >99%
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot 47%
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryFlávio Bolsonaro <5% >99%
- 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winnerSudan’s Emergency Response Rooms 14%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
