Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Flávio Bolsonaro at 81%, ahead of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 20%. $6.2M traded in the last 24 hours, $171.0M in all.
- Favorite
- Flávio Bolsonaro 81%
- 24 hours
- up 17 pts
- Traded today
- $6.2M
- Traded in all
- $171.0M
- Closes
- October 5, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 16)
- Flávio Bolsonaro81%▲ 17
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva20%▼ 16
- Geraldo Alckmin<1%
- Michelle Bolsonaro<1%
- Eduardo Bolsonaro<1%
- Ratinho Júnior<1%
10 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:04 AM6:04 PM6:04 AM81% Flávio Bolsonaro
The line follows the current favorite, Flávio Bolsonaro. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
