Polymarket
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor October 5 at 99%, ahead of October 7 at 97%. $245K traded in the last 24 hours, $6.1M in all.
- Favorite
- October 5 99%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $245K
- Traded in all
- $6.1M
- Closes
- October 31, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- October 599%▲ 1
- October 797%▲ 3
- October 996%▲ 5
- October 1293%▲ 6
- October 1589%▲ 6
- October 3173%▲ 8
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:18 AM5:18 PM5:18 AM99% October 5
The line follows the current favorite, October 5. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
