Kalshi

Brazil Presidential election winner?

In The next presidential election

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Flávio Bolsonaro at 83%, ahead of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 19%. $1.3M traded in the last 24 hours, $4.3M in all.

Favorite
Flávio Bolsonaro 83%
24 hours
up 17 pts
Traded today
$1.3M
Traded in all
$4.3M
Closes
October 25, 2027

Every outcome

  1. Flávio Bolsonaro83%▲ 17
  2. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva19%▼ 18

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:13 AM7:13 PM7:13 AM83% Flávio Bolsonaro

The line follows the current favorite, Flávio Bolsonaro. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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