Polymarket
CA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 20-25% at 39%, ahead of Democrat 10-15% at 39%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $77 in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 20-25% 39%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $77
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Democrat 20-25%39%
- Democrat 10-15%39%
- Democrat 5-10%39%
- Democrat 25-30%38%
- Democrat 15-20%38%▼ 0
- Democrat 30%+38%▼ 1
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:39 AM10:39 PM10:39 AM39% Democrat 20-25%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 20-25%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
