Polymarket
CA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 35-40% at 40%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 38%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $121 in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 35-40% 40%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $121
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 35-40%40%
- Democrat 25-30%38%
- Democrat 0-5%38%▲ 32
- Democrat 45%+38%
- Democrat 40-45%38%
- Democrat 30-35%38%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:47 AM9:47 PM9:47 AM40% Democrat 35-40%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 35-40%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
