Polymarket
CA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 25-30% at 38%, ahead of Democrat 15-20% at 37%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $2K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 25-30% 38%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $2K
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Democrat 25-30%38%
- Democrat 15-20%37%▲ 1
- Democrat 5-10%37%
- Democrat 10-15%37%
- Republican Wins37%▲ 1
- Democrat 30%+36%▼ 1
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:49 AM2:49 PM2:49 AM38% Democrat 25-30%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 25-30%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
