Polymarket

CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 5-10% at 43%, ahead of Republican 35%+ at 38%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $60 in all.

Favorite
Republican 5-10% 43%
24 hours
up 4 pts
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$60
Closes
November 3, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Republican 5-10%43%▲ 4
  2. Republican 35%+38%
  3. Republican 30-35%38%
  4. Republican 25-30%38%
  5. Republican 20-25%38%
  6. Republican 15-20%38%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:35 AM10:35 PM10:35 AM43% Republican 5-10%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 5-10%. One reading an hour.

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