Polymarket
CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 5-10% at 43%, ahead of Republican 35%+ at 38%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $60 in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 5-10% 43%
- 24 hours
- up 4 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $60
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Republican 5-10%43%▲ 4
- Republican 35%+38%
- Republican 30-35%38%
- Republican 25-30%38%
- Republican 20-25%38%
- Republican 15-20%38%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:35 AM10:35 PM10:35 AM43% Republican 5-10%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 5-10%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.