Polymarket
CA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 15-25% at 40%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 38%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $3K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 15-25% 40%
- 24 hours
- down 2 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $3K
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 15-25%40%▼ 2
- Democrat 25-30%38%
- Democrat 55%+38%
- Democrat 50-55%38%
- Democrat 30-35%38%
- Republican Wins38%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:49 AM9:49 PM9:49 AM40% Democrat 15-25%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 15-25%. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More other elections markets
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman 62%
- California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra 96%
- Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga 96%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova 91%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 61%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 59%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an 70%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
