Polymarket
CA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 55%+ at 40%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 39%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $21 in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 55%+ 40%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $21
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 55%+40%
- Democrat 25-30%39%▲ 1
- Democrat 0-15%38%
- Democrat 50-55%38%
- Democrat 45-50%38%
- Democrat 40-45%38%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%1:46 PM1:46 AM1:46 PM40% Democrat 55%+
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 55%+. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More other elections markets
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman 61%
- California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra 97%
- Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga 95%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova 90%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 61%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 61%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an 71%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.