Polymarket

CA-10 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 55%+ at 40%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 39%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $21 in all.

Favorite
Democrat 55%+ 40%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$21
Closes
November 3, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 55%+40%
  2. Democrat 25-30%39%▲ 1
  3. Democrat 0-15%38%
  4. Democrat 50-55%38%
  5. Democrat 45-50%38%
  6. Democrat 40-45%38%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%1:46 PM1:46 AM1:46 PM40% Democrat 55%+

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 55%+. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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