Kalshi
CA-11 House winner?
In 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Scott Wiener at 79%, ahead of Connie Chan at 24%. $2K traded in the last 24 hours, $158K in all.
- Favorite
- Scott Wiener 79%
- 24 hours
- up 4 pts
- Traded today
- $2K
- Traded in all
- $158K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome
- Scott Wiener79%▲ 4
- Connie Chan24%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:53 AM10:53 PM10:53 AM79% Scott Wiener
The line follows the current favorite, Scott Wiener. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More more politics markets
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 31 3%
- Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 45%
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?230-233 18%
- USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?December 31 73%
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?October 5 97%
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)Above 150 96%
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 35%
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?Christopher Luxon 46%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.