Polymarket
CA-15 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 65%+ at 41%, ahead of Democrat 60-65% at 39%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $81 in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 65%+ 41%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $81
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 65%+41%
- Democrat 60-65%39%
- Democrat 55-60%38%
- Democrat 50-55%38%
- Democrat 45-50%38%
- Democrat 40-45%38%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:41 AM3:41 PM3:41 AM41% Democrat 65%+
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 65%+. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
