Polymarket
CA-21 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 5%+ at 39%, ahead of Democrat 25%+ at 38%. $86 traded in the last 24 hours, $86 in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 5%+ 39%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $86
- Traded in all
- $86
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Republican 5%+39%
- Democrat 25%+38%▼ 0
- Democrat 20-25%38%▼ 0
- Democrat 10-15%38%▼ 0
- Democrat 5-10%38%▼ 0
- Democrat 0-5%38%▲ 1
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:53 AM10:53 PM10:53 AM39% Republican 5%+
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 5%+. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
