Polymarket
CA-22 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 3-6% at 38%, ahead of Democrat 0-3% at 38%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $576 in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 3-6% 38%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $576
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 3-6%38%▲ 1
- Democrat 0-3%38%
- Democrat 15-18%38%
- Republican 3-6%38%
- Democrat 6-9%37%▲ 6
- Republican 0-3%37%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:12 PM12:12 AM12:12 PM38% Democrat 3-6%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 3-6%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
