Polymarket
CA-25 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 25%+ at 39%, ahead of Democrat 20-25% at 39%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $78 in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 25%+ 39%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $78
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Democrat 25%+39%▲ 1
- Democrat 20-25%39%▲ 1
- Democrat 15-20%39%▼ 1
- Democrat 0-5%39%
- Republican 5%+39%
- Republican 0-5%38%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:26 AM5:26 PM5:26 AM39% Democrat 25%+
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 25%+. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.