Polymarket

CA-25 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 25%+ at 39%, ahead of Democrat 20-25% at 39%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $78 in all.

Favorite
Democrat 25%+ 39%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$78
Closes
November 3, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Democrat 25%+39%▲ 1
  2. Democrat 20-25%39%▲ 1
  3. Democrat 15-20%39%▼ 1
  4. Democrat 0-5%39%
  5. Republican 5%+39%
  6. Republican 0-5%38%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:26 AM5:26 PM5:26 AM39% Democrat 25%+

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 25%+. One reading an hour.

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