Polymarket
CA-26 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 35%+ at 38%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 38%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $0 in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 35%+ 38%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $0
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 35%+38%▼ 1
- Democrat 30-35%38%▼ 0
- Democrat 25-30%38%▼ 1
- Democrat 20-25%38%▼ 1
- Democrat 15-20%38%▼ 0
- Democrat 10-15%38%▼ 1
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:09 AM7:09 PM7:09 AM38% Democrat 35%+
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 35%+. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More other elections markets
- California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra 96%
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman 60%
- Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga 97%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova 90%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 61%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 59%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an 70%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.