Polymarket

CA-30 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 55-60% at 39%, ahead of Democrat 60%+ at 38%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $0 in all.

Favorite
Democrat 55-60% 39%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$0
Closes
November 3, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 55-60%39%
  2. Democrat 60%+38%
  3. Democrat 0-20%38%
  4. Republican Wins38%▲ 1
  5. Democrat 50-55%38%
  6. Democrat 45-50%38%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%1:48 PM1:48 AM1:48 PM39% Democrat 55-60%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 55-60%. One reading an hour.

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