Polymarket

CA-32 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 45%+ at 42%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 40%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $11 in all.

Favorite
Democrat 45%+ 42%
24 hours
up 2 pts
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$11
Closes
November 3, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 45%+42%▲ 2
  2. Democrat 30-35%40%
  3. Democrat 40-45%38%
  4. Democrat 35-40%38%
  5. Democrat 25-30%38%
  6. Democrat 20-25%38%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%8:06 AM8:06 PM8:06 AM42% Democrat 45%+

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 45%+. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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