Polymarket

CA-33 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 20-25% at 40%, ahead of Democrat 30%+ at 39%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $50 in all.

Favorite
Democrat 20-25% 40%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$50
Closes
November 3, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Democrat 20-25%40%
  2. Democrat 30%+39%
  3. Democrat 25-30%39%▲ 1
  4. Democrat 5-10%39%
  5. Democrat 15-20%38%
  6. Democrat 10-15%38%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:33 AM10:33 PM10:33 AM40% Democrat 20-25%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 20-25%. One reading an hour.

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