Polymarket
CA-36 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican Wins at 41%, ahead of Democrat 40-45% at 38%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $214 in all.
- Favorite
- Republican Wins 41%
- 24 hours
- down 2 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $214
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican Wins41%▼ 2
- Democrat 40-45%38%▼ 0
- Democrat 55%+38%▼ 0
- Democrat 50-55%38%▼ 0
- Democrat 45-50%38%▼ 0
- Democrat 35-40%38%▼ 0
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:26 AM5:26 PM5:26 AM41% Republican Wins
The line follows the current favorite, Republican Wins. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
