Polymarket
CA-38 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 30%+ at 39%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 39%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $41 in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 30%+ 39%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $41
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Democrat 30%+39%▼ 0
- Democrat 25-30%39%▼ 0
- Democrat 0-5%39%▼ 0
- Democrat 20-25%38%▼ 1
- Democrat 15-20%38%▼ 0
- Democrat 10-15%38%▼ 0
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:27 AM5:27 PM5:27 AM39% Democrat 30%+
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 30%+. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
