Polymarket

CA-39 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 15-20% at 39%, ahead of Democrat 10-15% at 39%. $5 traded in the last 24 hours, $125 in all.

Favorite
Democrat 15-20% 39%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$5
Traded in all
$125
Closes
November 3, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Democrat 15-20%39%
  2. Democrat 10-15%39%
  3. Democrat 5-10%39%▲ 1
  4. Democrat 0-5%39%
  5. Democrat 30%+38%▼ 0
  6. Democrat 20-25%38%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:06 AM7:06 PM7:06 AM39% Democrat 15-20%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 15-20%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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