Polymarket

CA-44 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 40-45% at 39%, ahead of Democrat 55%+ at 38%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $20 in all.

Favorite
Democrat 40-45% 39%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$20
Closes
November 3, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 40-45%39%
  2. Democrat 55%+38%
  3. Democrat 50-55%38%
  4. Democrat 45-50%38%
  5. Democrat 35-40%38%
  6. Democrat 30-35%38%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%12:54 PM12:54 AM12:54 PM39% Democrat 40-45%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 40-45%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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