Polymarket

CA-45 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 10-15% at 39%, ahead of Republican 0-5% at 39%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $0 in all.

Favorite
Democrat 10-15% 39%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$0
Closes
November 3, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Democrat 10-15%39%▲ 1
  2. Republican 0-5%39%
  3. Democrat 20-25%38%
  4. Democrat 25%+38%
  5. Democrat 15-20%38%
  6. Democrat 5-10%38%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:49 AM9:49 PM9:49 AM39% Democrat 10-15%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 10-15%. One reading an hour.

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