Polymarket
CA-49 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 15-20% at 38%, ahead of Democrat 5-10% at 37%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $2K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 15-20% 38%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $2K
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Democrat 15-20%38%▲ 1
- Democrat 5-10%37%▲ 3
- Democrat 20-25%37%
- Republican Wins37%
- Democrat 30%+36%▲ 2
- Democrat 0-5%35%▼ 2
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:48 AM9:48 PM9:48 AM38% Democrat 15-20%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 15-20%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
