Polymarket

CA-50 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 25-30% at 38%, ahead of Republican Wins at 38%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $32 in all.

Favorite
Democrat 25-30% 38%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$32
Closes
November 3, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Democrat 25-30%38%
  2. Republican Wins38%
  3. Democrat 40%+38%
  4. Democrat 35-40%38%
  5. Democrat 30-35%38%
  6. Democrat 20-25%38%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%12:14 PM12:14 AM12:14 PM38% Democrat 25-30%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 25-30%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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