Polymarket
CA-51 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 40%+ at 38%, ahead of Democrat 35-40% at 38%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $0 in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 40%+ 38%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $0
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 40%+38%▼ 0
- Democrat 35-40%38%▼ 0
- Democrat 30-35%38%▼ 0
- Democrat 25-30%38%▼ 1
- Democrat 20-25%38%▼ 0
- Democrat 15-20%38%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:47 AM2:47 PM2:47 AM38% Democrat 40%+
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 40%+. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
